What's Driving Token Prices? August 7, 2024

Katie Talati
Aug 7, 2024

Join Katie Talati, Arca’s Head of Research, weekly on Wednesday at 4PM EST / 1PM PST as she shares notable token activity over the past week and her insights on what market events drove these token price movements.

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  • ZKX (-75%) - Starknet-based decentralized derivatives exchange ZKX announced this past week that it would wind down the project including delisting all markets and closing all positions. The founder announced the decision on X stating that they were “unable to find an economically viable path for the protocol”. Interestingly, ZKX only just launched its token at the end of June, coinciding with an announcement that it had raised additional funding. The timing of the funding announcement and the short time between the token launch and the shuttering of the project has led to some critics calling out the project as a “rug pull”. 
  • LDO (-38%) - Decentralized liquid staking protocol Lido announced last week the launch of Lido Institutional, a middleware solution that allows for enterprise-grade staking. Lido has consistently focused on institutional adoption of its liquid staking product which currently captures 28% of the market with $23B in TVL. 
  • ENA (-34%) - During the selloff earlier this week, Ethena’s stablecoin USDe was put to the test as the market was hit with billions of dollars of leveraged liquidations. USDe, which is a pseudo-decentralized stablecoin, is minted in exchange for ETH or BTC. The protocol then takes the ETH and stakes it through Lido to earn staking rewards. Meanwhile, a short perpetual future position is taken out to correspond to that ETH position, and the dollar value is then issued in the form of the USDe stablecoin. The protocol also earns yield on this “cash and carry” trade, which is distributed to stakers in the protocol. Monday’s volatility led to $100M in redemptions for USDe, yet the stablecoin itself only showed momentary weakness, briefly losing its peg and trading at $0.997. Despite the losses, USDe still boasts over $3B in AUM. Additionally, this morning Ethena announced its expansion to Solana via Layer Zero’s OFT standard and would allow for issuance of USDe on the Solana blockchain. 
  • JUP (-21%) - Solana-based decentralized exchange Jupiter passed a vote this past week to reduce its total supply. The vote will bring the total supply of JUP, the governance token for Jupiter, from 10B to 7B, a 30% decrease. This change however will technically only impact the fully diluted value (FDV) of the project since the tokens burned are part of the locked team and community allocations. Still, the change will theoretically bring the FDV down from $8B to $5.7B. The actual burning of tokens will take place over the course of the next 6 months.

DISCLAIMER: This commentary is not intended to be investment advice, investment research, or a recommendation. Please consult your investment professional for your own circumstances."

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Disclaimer: This commentary is provided as general information only and is in no way intended as investment advice, investment research, legal advice, tax advice, a research report, or a recommendation. Any decision to invest or take any other action with respect to any investments discussed in this commentary may involve risks not discussed, and therefore, such decisions should not be based solely on the information contained in this document. Please consult your own financial/legal/tax professional.

Statements in this communication may include forward-looking information and/or may be based on various assumptions. The forward-looking statements and other views or opinions expressed are those of the author, and are made as of the date of this publication. Actual future results or occurrences may differ significantly from those anticipated and there is no guarantee that any particular outcome will come to pass. The statements made herein are subject to change at any time. Arca disclaims any obligation to update or revise any statements or views expressed herein. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results and there can be no assurance that any future results will be realized. Some or all of the information provided herein may be or be based on statements of opinion. In addition, certain information provided herein may be based on third-party sources, which is believed to be accurate, but has not been independently verified. Arca and/or certain of its affiliates and/or clients may now, or in the future, hold a financial interest in investments that are the same as or substantially similar to the investments discussed in this commentary. No claims are made as to the profitability of such financial interests, now, in the past or in the future and Arca and/or its clients may sell such financial interests at any time. The information provided herein is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any securities, or a solicitation to provide investment advisory services.

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